A new Monmouth University Poll two days from the New Hampshire primary shows Trump and Sanders leading their party’s columns but no clear second place holder. On the GOP side, the poll said:
“Donald Trump earns 30% support from voters likely to participate in Tuesday’s Republican primary. He currently leads all other candidates by double digits, while four candidates vie for second place – John Kasich (14%), Marco Rubio (13%), Jeb Bush (13%), and Ted Cruz (12%).
“Other candidates receive single digit support, including Chris Christie (6%), Carly Fiorina (5%), and Ben Carson (4%). For most of these candidates, support levels are basically unchanged from Monmouth’s New Hampshire poll last month. The one exception is Bush, who has gained 9 points since January. Again, it is important to remember that the vast majority of interviews for this poll were conducted before last night’s GOP debate.”
“Volatility is the name of the game in 2016’s first primary contest, just as it was in the first caucus state last week. While Trump’s placement as the top finisher seems fairly secure at this point, the margin of victory and final order of the remaining candidates are still very much up for grabs,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
“Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire’s Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in Monmouth’s January poll. Now that it is effectively a two person race – despite the fact that 28 names appear on Tuesday’s ballot – since Martin O’Malley dropped out of the race, the number of likely voters who do not lean toward any candidate has gone up to 6% from 2% last month,” the poll said.
“Sanders is sitting in the driver’s seat heading into the last few days before New Hampshire voters head to the polls,” said Murray.
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