New poll: Bush and Trump lead the GOP campaign; Christie possibly losing ground

John E. "JEB" Bush
John E. “JEB” Bush

A new Monmouth University Poll of Republican voters nationwide has Jeb Bush and Donald Trump up, Bobby Jindal treading water and Chris Christie possibly losing ground.

The poll said in a news release:

“When Republicans are asked who they would support for the GOP nomination for president, Jeb Bush nominally leads the pack with 15%, followed by Donald Trump at 13%, and Ted Cruz at 9%. However, the poll suggests many GOP voters are not taking Trump seriously with nearly 40% saying Trump is just seeking publicity.

“The next group of candidates includes Scott Walker (7%) – who formally announcing today – Mike Huckabee (7%), Marco Rubio (6%), Ben Carson (6%), and Rand Paul (6%).

“The rest of the field garners no more than 2% of the vote, including Rick Perry (2%), Chris Christie (2%), Bobby Jindal (2%), Rick Santorum (2%), Carly Fiorina (1%), and John Kasich (1%), Lindsey Graham and George Pataki earn less than a half a percentage point. Jim Gilmore, who expressed his intent to enter the race in early August and is included in the Monmouth University Poll for the first time, has no support. Another 18% of GOP voters say they still are unsure of who they will support for the party’s nomination.”

Four candidates have entered the race since the last Monmouth Poll in June.

“Of these, Jeb Bush’s support increased 6 points from 9% and Donald Trump’s support increased 11 points from 2%. Bobby Jindal’s support remains unchanged from 1% and Chris Christie’s support has dropped two points from 4%. While Christie’s two-point drop may be statistically insignificant it could be meaningful if other polls also place him out of the top ten, and thus off the stage for the first debate next month.”

“The biggest poll bump over the past few weeks has been for Donald Trump. But you’ve got to wonder if his support has already plateaued since many Republican voters don’t view him as a serious candidate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

 

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