No significant changes seen in Donald Trump’s support after his controversial comments about Sen. John McCain in the latest Monmouth University Poll of likely Republican caucus goers. Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal is moving up. National security is the No. 1 issue.
The poll said in a statement:
“When Iowa Republicans are asked who they would support in their local caucus, Scott Walker is the first choice of 22% followed by Donald Trump at 13%. The next group of candidates includes Ben Carson (8%), Jeb Bush (7%), Ted Cruz (7%), the 2008 Iowa winner Mike Huckabee (6%), Marco Rubio (5%), Rand Paul (5%), and Bobby Jindal (4%). Rick Santorum (3%) – who won the Iowa caucuses in 2012 – Rick Perry (3%), and Carly Fiorina (3%) are tied for 10th place. The rest of the field garners no more than 2% of the vote as a first choice, including John Kasich (2%), Chris Christie (1%), George Pataki (<1%), Lindsey Graham (0%), and Jim Gilmore (0%). Another 11% of likely caucusgoers are undecided.”
Support among key groups includes:
— Tea Party – Walker at 27%, Trump 14%, Ted Cruz at 12%.
— Ideology – Very conservative voters line up behind Walker (22%), Trump (14%) and Cruz (12%) as their top picks.
— Evangelicals – Evangelical voters favor Walker (17%), Trump (13%), Cruz (10%), Carson (10%), and Huckabee (9%).
— Gender – Walker and Trump take the top two spots with both male (24% and 16%, respectively) and female (19% and 10%) caucusgoers.
— Age – Walker (25%) is the clear favorite among voters age 50 and older, followed by Trump (13%) and Carson (9%). Voters under 50 years old spread their support among Walker (13%), Paul (13%), Trump (12%), Cruz (10%), and Rubio (10%).
Trump made the remarks about McCain on Saturday in Iowa. “Thursday and Friday, Trump garnered 13% of the vote to 19% for Walker. This is only slightly different than results from the Saturday and Sunday interviews, which put Trump at 13% to 25% for Walker.”
Issues in the 2016 GOP nomination race:
“When asked to choose the most important issue in deciding who they will support for the GOP nomination, Iowa caucus goers select national security (28%) as their top concern, outpacing taxes and government spending (18%), the economy (16%), immigration (12%), social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage (11%) and education (4%). Another 10% of voters say all six issues are equally important in their vote”
About one third of those polled (32%) say the number of candidates in the race is good for the party while 38% say it is bad for the party. Another 26% say it has no impact.
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